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First-principles literacy. Trading is price, volume, and time — indicators don't predict, at best they measure.
The Certainties in Trading: 31 Hard Truths About Markets — None About How to Win
by John Xu
Every trading book sells you an edge. This one counts the walls. 31 short chapters on what markets actually guarantee — the spread you pay before you are right, the stop that triggers without promising a price, the tax that only visits profits. Costs are certain; revenues are not. This book is the thinking behind every tool this studio ships.
Is the volume on your chart even real?
On forex and most CFDs, volume bars don't count money — they count ticks. Here's what that actually means.
What is the MACD histogram actually measuring?
The bars aren't a separate signal — they're just the gap between two lines. Once you see that, it demystifies.
Your backtest made money and live lost it. Where did it go?
The gap almost never comes from the strategy being wrong. It comes from costs the backtest quietly ignored.
The 90%+ win-rate strategy: a 99% chance to blow up your account
Ultra-high win rates don't come from accuracy — they come from hiding losses. The three ways it's done, and why each one ends the same way.
Build a PF 10+ 'god' strategy in one minute (ruin included)
A profit factor of 10+ is dangerously easy to fake with curve-fitting. The three tricks, and why the more perfect the backtest, the harder it breaks.
The 1000%+ backtest (then your account hit zero)
Explosive total returns are the easiest number to fake: leverage, overtrading and cherry-picked data. Why moonshot equity curves guarantee ruin.
Quantitative portfolio engineering: beyond curve fitting
Real edge isn't a perfect single-instrument equity curve — it's engineered risk distribution across non-correlated assets.
More in this series coming — spreads, stop hunts, support & resistance, and more.
General educational information only. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to trade. Backtests are hypothetical and past performance is not indicative of future results.